CLEVELAND, OH - AUGUST 06: Republican presidential candidates (L-R) Ben Carson, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker and Donald Trump participate in the first prime-time presidential debate hosted by FOX News and Facebook at the Quicken Loans Arena August 6, 2015 in Cleveland, Ohio. The top-ten GOP candidates were selected to participate in the debate based on their rank in an average of the five most recent national political polls. (Photo : Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
Looks like there is a new GOP front-runner, for now.
Ben Carson Leads
Ben Carson has passed up Trump in the most recent poll. This is the first time Trump has been in second place since July.
In a poll released by Real Clear Politics, the former Luxury realtor barely trails behind Ben Carson. In another poll released by The New York Times and CBS, Carson is found leading the GOP race just four points ahead of Trump, 26 to 22. Please note, the four-point lead lies in the survey's margin of error.
Rubio, Bush and Fiorina Trail Behind
The remaining candidates straggle behind Carson and Trump with single digit ratings. "Senator Marco Rubio of Florida received 8 percent while former Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida and Carly Fiorina, the former Hewlett-Packard chief executive, are each the choice of 7 percent of Republican primary voters. Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, former Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas and Gov. John R. Kasich of Ohio each received support from 4 percent of those surveyed."
Washington Post makes clear that Carson is still not the winner due to the small lead.
They explain the very same poll taken last month placed Trump with a four-point lead, meaning he had an entire "eight-point swing."
Trump Supporters Firm
But all is not lost for Trump and his supporters. As the New York Times noted, the poll is not a clear indication of who will win. The Iowa Caucus is months away. In addition, another GOP debate will take place Wednesday night. Moreover, the Times finds their poll to reveal just how strong a fan base Donald Trump really has.
"A majority of Trump supporters, 55 percent, said their minds were made up. But 80 percent of Carson backers said it was too early to say for sure that they would eventually support him"
New York Times states the poll was conducted over the phone with 575 Republican primary voters. The margin of sampling error for this poll is plus or minus six percentage points for each candidate.
Debate Start Time
The GOP debate will air Oct. 28, 2015 on CNBC with starting at 6 p.m. EST. The top 10 Republican candidates will take the stage at 8 p.m. EST.